Oxford City face Leicester City in a cup tie where both attacks have been busy in recent matches, even if clean sheets still appear. Oxford City have three wins, one draw and one defeat in their last five across all competitions, while Leicester City have three wins, one draw and one defeat in the same span.
Match context
This fixture is one of our free Hot Games picks. Competition table rows for both clubs are empty in the available figures, so this preview leans on recent results and the scoring rates that are filled in. The model favours the visitors on the 1X2 line: 22% for an Oxford City win, 19% for a draw and 58% for Leicester City.
In the competition sample that is filled in for Oxford City, both teams scored in 1 of 3 matches overall, including their only home game in that sample, while their two away games in the same set stayed without a both-teams score. Leicester City have no filled competition rates in the same block, so their case rests on recent all-competition form.
Why the model backs both teams to score
The pick is Both teams to score. It wins if each side scores at least once in regular time, whatever the final result, so 1-1, 2-1 or 3-2 all land. It loses if either team blanks.
Recent matches support that view more clearly than the thin competition sample. Oxford City's last five include a 1-3 home defeat to South Shields and a 1-1 draw at Marine, both with goals at both ends, plus a 3-0 win over Merthyr Town, a 0-1 win at Torquay United and a 0-3 win at Hebburn Town. Leicester City drew 2-2 with Stevenage, lost 2-1 at Luton Town and beat Doncaster Rovers 2-1, all with both teams on the scoresheet, while beating Wigan Athletic 3-0 and Bromley 0-4 away.
Across those ten games, both teams scored in five: two of five for Oxford City and three of five for Leicester City.
The last five below cover all competitions.
| Team | Match | HT | FT | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oxford City | Oxford City – South Shields | 1-3 | 1-3 | Yes |
| Oxford City | Oxford City – Merthyr Town | 1-0 | 3-0 | No |
| Oxford City | Marine – Oxford City | 1-1 | 1-1 | Yes |
| Oxford City | Torquay United – Oxford City | 0-0 | 0-1 | No |
| Oxford City | Hebburn Town – Oxford City | 0-1 | 0-3 | No |
| Leicester City | Leicester City – Stevenage | 1-1 | 2-2 | Yes |
| Leicester City | Leicester City – Wigan Athletic | 1-0 | 3-0 | No |
| Leicester City | Luton Town – Leicester City | 1-0 | 2-1 | Yes |
| Leicester City | Bromley – Leicester City | 0-3 | 0-4 | No |
| Leicester City | Leicester City – Doncaster Rovers | 1-0 | 2-1 | Yes |
The trend line on the pick says Oxford City scored at least two goals in 7 of their last 8 matches in this competition. The five most recent Oxford City matches we can check across all competitions show them scoring two or more in only 2 of 5 (the 3-0 against Merthyr Town and the 0-3 at Hebburn Town). The competition rate block lists only three Oxford City games this season, so the full eight-match cup claim cannot be confirmed here.