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A side fighting to stop a losing run hosts one of the most consistent teams in the division right now. Pogoń Siedlce have dropped points in almost every recent outing, while Ruch Chorzów have strung together a run of wins without conceding.
Match context
This fixture is one of our free Dropping Odds picks. If you want to see which matches are drawing the most attention across the board, our Hot Games page collects them in one place.
| League record | Pos | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pogoń Siedlce overall | 13 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 14-15 | 15 |
| Ruch Chorzów overall | 5 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 16-11 | 21 |
| Pogoń Siedlce at home | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11-11 | 10 |
| Ruch Chorzów away | 8 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4-5 | 8 |
After 12 games Ruch Chorzów are fifth with 21 points from six wins, three draws and three defeats, and a goal difference of 16-11. Pogoń Siedlce are 13th with 15 points from four wins, three draws and five defeats, scoring 14 and conceding 15. At home Pogoń have three wins, one draw and three defeats with an even 11-11 goal record. Ruch are much stronger at home than away: on the road they have two wins, two draws and two defeats, scoring only four and conceding five in six games.
Why we back X2 (draw or Ruch Chorzów win)
This bet wins if the match ends in a draw or a Ruch Chorzów win in regular time. Only a Pogoń Siedlce win loses.
How the 1X2 odds moved
| Reading | 1 (Pogoń Siedlce) | X (Draw) | 2 (Ruch Chorzów) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opening line | 3.25 | 3.30 | 2.00 |
| Latest | 4.00 | 3.60 | 1.73 |
It is important to be clear about which price moved. The headline drop is on the Ruch Chorzów away-win price, which shortened from 2.00 to 1.73. The X2 price itself is not part of that figure, and its opening price is not in our data, so we only quote the current 1.17. At the same time the home win drifted from 3.25 to 4.00 and the draw lengthened from 3.30 to 3.60. Money has clearly moved towards the visitors and the double chance means Ruch only need to avoid defeat.
Ruch have won four in a row without conceding, while Pogoń have lost four of their last five. Ruch have lost only two of six away league games.
Recent form and half-time scores
The last-five lists below cover all competitions, not only the league.
| Match | HT | FT |
|---|---|---|
| GKS Tychy vs Pogoń Siedlce | 2-0 | 4-2 |
| OKS Odra Opole vs Pogoń Siedlce | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| Pogoń Siedlce vs Stal Rzeszów | 0-3 | 3-4 |
| Pogoń Siedlce vs Puszcza Niepołomice | 0-0 | 1-3 |
| Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała vs Pogoń Siedlce | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Znicz Pruszków vs Ruch Chorzów | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| Ruch Chorzów vs Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki | 1-0 | 2-0 |
| Ruch Chorzów vs OKS Odra Opole | 1-0 | 3-0 |
| ŁKS Łódź vs Ruch Chorzów | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| Ruch Chorzów vs KS Lechia Gdańsk | 1-2 | 1-3 |
Pogoń Siedlce scored seven and conceded 12 in these five matches. Their only win was 1-0 at OKS Odra Opole, and the home defeats show a worrying pattern: they trailed Stal Rzeszów 0-3 at half-time before losing 3-4, and they were level with Puszcza Niepołomice at the break before losing 1-3. Ruch Chorzów scored nine and conceded three across their five. All four wins came without conceding, two of them away. The only defeat was a 1-3 home loss to KS Lechia Gdańsk.
