France sit second with ten points from five games, while Türkiye are fourth with no points and five defeats. The sides have already met once in this run: France won 1-0 in Türkiye on 25 September, when the hosts failed to score. That result sits against more open recent scores, such as Italy's 3-1 win over France and France's 4-1 against Belgium.
Match context
This fixture is one of our free Hot Games picks. The model leans toward the hosts: 60% for a France win, 20% for the draw and 20% for Türkiye, out of 100%. Those figures describe the likely winner, not whether both sides score. A France win can still finish with goals at both ends, as the 4-1 against Belgium did, or with a clean sheet, as the 1-0 in Türkiye did.
| Table | Pos | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| France overall | 2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8-5 | 10 |
| Türkiye overall | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3-13 | 0 |
| France home | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5-2 | 4 |
| Türkiye away | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1-6 | 0 |
At home France have one win and one draw from two games, scoring five and conceding two. Away, Türkiye have lost both trips, scoring one and conceding six. France have scored in all five of their games; Türkiye have conceded in all five of theirs, but have scored only three times in the same sample.
Why the model backs both teams to score
The pick is both teams to score. It wins if each side scores at least once in regular time, whatever the margin or the winner. Results such as 1-1, 2-1 or 4-1 all land; it loses if either side is blank, including 1-0, 3-0 or 0-0.
The season rates in this competition give the selection a narrow majority. Both teams scored in three of France's five games, including both home fixtures, and in three of Türkiye's five, including one of two away trips. Those samples are the same five matches that appear in the recent lists below.
There is also a clear counterweight. Türkiye have scored only three goals in five games, one of them away, and were shut out by France in September and by Belgium 3-0. First-half both-teams rates are low as well, at one of five for each side, but the market is settled on the full match, not the interval. Every one of France's five second halves had at least one goal.
Recent form and half-time scores
The last five matches below are also these two sides' five games in this competition, newest first. In this case the recent list and the season rates describe the same sample, not a mix of other fixtures.
| Team | Match | HT | FT | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| France | Italy – France | 1-1 | 3-1 | Yes |
| France | France – Belgium | 0-1 | 4-1 | Yes |
| France | France – Italy | 0-0 | 1-1 | Yes |
| France | Belgium – France | 0-0 | 0-1 | No |
| France | Türkiye – France | 0-0 | 0-1 | No |
| Türkiye | Türkiye – Belgium | 1-2 | 1-2 | Yes |
| Türkiye | Italy – Türkiye | 1-0 | 3-1 | Yes |
| Türkiye | Belgium – Türkiye | 1-0 | 3-0 | No |
| Türkiye | Türkiye – Italy | 0-3 | 1-4 | Yes |
| Türkiye | Türkiye – France | 0-0 | 0-1 | No |
Both teams scored in three of France's five: 3-1 in Italy, 4-1 at home to Belgium and 1-1 at home to Italy. The exceptions were 0-1 wins in Belgium and in Türkiye. Türkiye also had three from five: 1-2 at home to Belgium, 3-1 in Italy and 1-4 at home to Italy, with blanks in the 3-0 defeat in Belgium and the 0-1 home defeat to France.
France did not score before half-time in four of those five, so several of the both-teams results were completed after the interval.