Scunthorpe United and Worthing FC sit far apart in this division. One is near the foot of the table after five straight defeats, the other is in the top half and still taking points on the road. The most recent lists also include games against under-21 sides, so they mix this league with other fixtures.
Match context
This fixture is one of our free Dropping Odds picks.
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scunthorpe United | 15 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 19 | 30 | 10 | 23 |
| Worthing FC | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 25 | 28 | 6 |
Scunthorpe have three wins, one draw and 11 defeats from 15 league games, for 10 points and 23rd place. Worthing have eight wins, four draws and four defeats from 16 games, for 28 points and sixth place. They have not played the same number of matches. Scunthorpe's six home league games are two wins, one draw and three defeats. Worthing have 14 points from seven away league games, with four wins, two draws and one defeat.
Why we back 12 - Double Chance
This bet wins if either Scunthorpe or Worthing win in regular time. Only a draw loses it, whatever the score.
How the 1X2 odds moved
| Reading | 1 (Scunthorpe) | X (Draw) | 2 (Worthing) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opening | 2.88 | 3.90 | 2.05 |
| Latest | 2.14 | 3.99 | 2.69 |
It is worth being precise about which price moved. The listed 25.22 figure is the size of a shortening, not a probability that one of these sides will win. The price that shortened was Scunthorpe's win, from 2.88 to 2.14. Simple arithmetic on those two figures is 25.69, a touch above the listed 25.22, which is the figure we use. Worthing's win drifted the other way, from 2.05 to 2.69, so the market has flipped which side is shorter. The draw lengthened slightly, from 3.90 to 3.99. Combining the current home and away prices produces the 1.19 on this ticket. The 12 price itself has barely moved, from about 1.20 to 1.19, so the listed drop is not a move on the double-chance price.
Recent form and half-time scores
The last five matches below cover all competitions, newest first. Only three of Scunthorpe's five, and four of Worthing's five, belong to this league. The games against Port Vale, Wolverhampton U21 and Fulham U21 came in other fixtures.
| Team | Match | HT | FT |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scunthorpe United | Port Vale – Scunthorpe United | 1-0 | 4-2 |
| Scunthorpe United | Scunthorpe United – Wolverhampton U21 | 1-1 | 6-7 |
| Scunthorpe United | Boston United – Scunthorpe United | 2-0 | 2-1 |
| Scunthorpe United | Tamworth – Scunthorpe United | 3-1 | 4-1 |
| Scunthorpe United | Scunthorpe United – Woking | 0-2 | 2-3 |
| Worthing FC | Worthing FC – Fulham U21 | 1-0 | 2-1 |
| Worthing FC | Worthing FC – Sutton United | 0-3 | 0-3 |
| Worthing FC | Worthing FC – Southend United | 0-2 | 3-3 |
| Worthing FC | Kidderminster Harriers – Worthing FC | 1-0 | 1-2 |
| Worthing FC | Wealdstone – Worthing FC | 0-0 | 3-0 |
Scunthorpe have lost all five, and the three league games in that list were all defeats. Worthing have two wins, one draw and two defeats, including a 3-3 home draw with Southend United and a 2-1 win at Kidderminster Harriers.
Scunthorpe were already behind at the interval in four of those five, including 0-2 at home to Woking. Worthing led 1-0 at the break at Kidderminster and were 0-3 down to Sutton United at half-time.