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Warta Poznań and ŁKS Łódź arrive level on 18 points after 11 league games each, separated only by goal difference, yet they have collected those points in very different ways. Warta have not drawn once this season, with six wins and five defeats, while ŁKS have three draws, every one of them away from home.
Match context
This fixture is one of our free Dropping Odds picks, because the 1X2 prices have moved noticeably since the market opened.
| League record | Pos | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Warta Poznań overall | 7 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 19-15 | 18 |
| ŁKS Łódź overall | 8 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 14-11 | 18 |
| Warta Poznań at home | 11 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7-2 | 9 |
| ŁKS Łódź away | 11 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4-5 | 6 |
The schedule has been uneven: Warta have played only three league games at home and eight away, ŁKS six at home and five on the road. Warta have won all three home games, scoring seven and conceding two, and even their away record of three wins and five defeats contains no draw. ŁKS look like a different side on their travels, with one win, three draws, one defeat and just four goals scored.
Why we back either team to win (Double Chance 12)
The selection covers a win for either side and loses only on a draw. The opening prices made ŁKS slight favourites at 2.38, with Warta at 2.60 and the draw at 3.20.
How the 1X2 odds moved
| Reading | 1 (Warta Poznań) | X (Draw) | 2 (ŁKS Łódź) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opening line | 2.60 | 3.20 | 2.38 |
| First snapshot | 2.39 | 3.24 | 2.49 |
| Latest | 2.44 | 3.29 | 2.44 |
Money first came for the hosts: Warta shortened from 2.60 to 2.39 while ŁKS drifted to 2.49. The latest reading has settled with both teams at 2.44, so part of the home move has eased back and the market now sees two evenly matched sides. The more telling line is the draw, which lengthened from 3.20 to 3.29 and remains the biggest of the three prices. Two winning prices of 2.44 combine to roughly the 1.22 available on this selection.
The league numbers support that reading. All 11 of Warta's league games have produced a winner and at least one goal. ŁKS have also been decisive at home, with four wins and two defeats and no draw. Between them, the two clubs have drawn only three of 22 league games.
The case against comes almost entirely from ŁKS's away form. Three of their five away games ended level, four of the five stayed under 2.5 goals, and none went over 3.5. A visiting side that scores rarely and concedes rarely is exactly the profile that produces 0-0 and 1-1.
Recent form and half-time scores
The last-five lists cover all competitions, not only the league.
| Match | HT | FT |
|---|---|---|
| Warta Poznań vs Unia Skierniewice | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Stal Mielec vs Warta Poznań | 2-0 | 2-1 |
| Chrobry Głogów vs Warta Poznań | 0-2 | 1-3 |
| Warta Poznań vs Puszcza Niepołomice | 2-2 | 3-2 |
| Warta Poznań vs Arka Gdynia | 1-0 | 3-0 |
| ŁKS Łódź vs Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała | 0-0 | 1-0 |
| ŁKS Łódź vs Ruch Chorzów | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| Radomiak Radom vs ŁKS Łódź | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs ŁKS Łódź | 1-0 | 2-0 |
| Puszcza Niepołomice vs ŁKS Łódź | 1-1 | 1-2 |
Nine of these ten matches had a winner, the exception being the 0-0 between Radomiak Radom and ŁKS. Half-time is more cautious for ŁKS: four of their last five were level at the break, three of them goalless, and only second-half goals turned three of those games into decisive results. Warta were level at the interval once, 2-2 against Puszcza Niepołomice, and went on to win 3-2.
